Secondary Perils
Impressions
Risk perceptions
Behavioral research indicates that people under-estimate the risk of low-probability events such as natural catastrophes. People often fail to purchase insurance against low-probability high-loss events, even when it is offered at favorable premiums. One reason for low awareness about low-probability risks is the lack of experience with rare events.
Government can play an important role in providing risk information, for example by providing detailed and unbiased flood risk or earthquake risk maps1. Also, the expectation of government post-disaster assistance may reduce the demand for private insurance, in both developed and emerging markets.
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What does this imply for agriculture in the region, particularly considering that growing this industry will be key to food security, employment and diversification of the economies in the region